The Predictions Market Mirage: Why 8.2% Odds on a $66 Silver by 2026 Is Noise, Not Signal
A lone headline crossed my desk this morning: "Iran strikes Amazon in Bahrain...
| Coin | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
|
BTC
Bitcoin
|
$65,915.4 | -0.61% |
|
ETH
Ethereum
|
$1,929.05 | +0.24% |
|
SOL
Solana
|
$77.75 | -0.35% |
|
BNB
BNB Chain
|
$571 | -0.45% |
|
XRP
XRP Ledger
|
$1.14 | -0.74% |
|
DOGE
Dogecoin
|
$0.0727 | -1.09% |
|
ADA
Cardano
|
$0.1744 | +0.46% |
|
AVAX
Avalanche
|
$6.64 | +1.24% |
|
DOT
Polkadot
|
$0.8400 | -1.48% |
|
LINK
Chainlink
|
$8.62 | -0.14% |
Fear
Market Sentiment
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Block reward halving event
92 million ARB released
Team and early investor shares released
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Bitcoin Season
data quality related articles
A lone headline crossed my desk this morning: "Iran strikes Amazon in Bahrain...